Everyone checks the forecast they want to believe. We average them all.
The Met Office and 5 other leading forecasts, averaged for every town in the UK, with an honest read on how much they agree.
Today across the UK
All townsToday's biggest argument
Cardiff
between the warmest and coldest forecast, and they're split 1 to 5 on whether it rains.
Today's safest bet
Birmingham
and dry. All 6 forecasts are within 1° of each other.
Where can you see the stars tonight?
Clear skies, the moon and light pollution, for the UK's dark sky parks and your own town.
Which forecast is actually right?
We check every forecast against what really happened, every day. See who's winning.
Why average the forecasts?
Every weather app has its own forecast, and on any given day they can be several degrees apart or disagree about rain entirely. Most of us just pick the app with the nicest answer. Forecasters do the opposite: they look at lots of forecasts, because the average of several good ones is usually closer to the truth than any single one.
So we do it for you, and show how much they agree. When they all say dry, leave the coat at home. When they split, take it just in case. How it works